AGP Executive Report
Last update: an hour agoEl Niño Watch: The Horn of Africa is bracing for a very strong El Niño into early 2027, with rainfall impacts expected to vary by location—raising risks of flooding, landslides, crop damage, and disease, so planners are urged to turn forecasts into local action. Energy & Industry (Burundi-linked): Kenya’s Lamu Port is moving from construction to delivery for the Sh2 trillion Dangote East African Oil Refinery, after the first major caller vessel brought critical equipment; the project targets 700,000 barrels/day and is positioned to feed regional fuel supply and industrial spin-offs, including for Burundi. Trade & Supply Chains: Burundi is still importing growing volumes of goods from Rwanda despite the border closure, showing commercial demand can outlast political tensions. Agriculture & Rural Support: Burundi farmers report fertilizer gaps—three seasons without chemical inputs—while regional partners push higher pledges to IFAD to protect agrifood systems amid energy and climate shocks. Water Security: Muyinga and Kirundo face worsening drinking-water shortages, with taps running dry and hospitals affected.
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